Maintaining these relationships seems the best way to forward the confrontation’s conclusion on terms compatible with the current state of the world.
Russia’s policy, therefore, is to remain tactically flexible, prepared for every eventuality, but also to be more strategic than ever in building a world order that is stable, peaceful, and comfortable for Russia.
Russia’s pivot to Asia will continue and the Greater Eurasia comprehensive partnership concept will gradually be substantiated and thus will become a zone of stability and a powerful unit within the global order.
No major improvement in relations with the United States is in sight, mainly because of the situation within both Western societies and the Western international community itself.
Russia has a good chance of influencing the formation a new order.
However, the establishment of a new world order will take time, and in the meantime serious conflicts and crises could occur.As the US and Europe are not ready to engage in order-building with Russia and other major non-Western actors, instead adopting an oppositional posture, and—primarily due to internal political reasons— because they are highly unlikely to so engage in the next decade, a new international order’s emergence is more likely to occur in the 2030s or 2040s than in the 2020s, after the inevitable rotation of elites in the US and the EU.Collapse of orders The main reason for the general confusion among Western elites and the tension in world politics and the international economy is the simultaneous decay of most global and regional international political and economic orders, by which here we refer to systems of rules, norms, and patterns of behaviour accepted by a majority of actors at a particular time.In climate policy, the US commitment to the Paris Agreement is being questioned.In defence, the security umbrella appears less certain than previously.Russia and USA Putin international relations history elite Europe USA China India nuclear weapons postsoviet space NATO Syria Russia's foreign policy Trump European Union armors security geopolitics Ukraine's Crysis war International law Eurasia Japan Since around 2017–2018, the world has been living through a period of progressive erosion, or collapse, of international orders inherited from the past.A period of collapse opens up possibilities for the creation of a new world order; hopefully, a fairer, stable, and peaceful order than has been previously experienced.The new US administration seems intent on replacing multilateralism with bilateral deals.In trade, it aims to secure new trade deals in order to reduce bilateral trade deficits and to protect, in particular, the US manufacturing sector.Interestingly, China had possessed a far more powerful navy two centuries before the Europeans had built theirs, with substantially larger and more capable ships.However, perhaps due to assumptions of Chinese civilisational self-sufficiency or a fear of foreign influence, China destroyed its own navy in the fifteenth century.